2026 World Cup Group D Betting Odds

Updated: 22/05/2026 02:47 PM

The 2026 World Cup Group D betting odds vary from one operator to another, but generally, the USA and Türkiye are considered to be the favourites to reach the knockout stages. Paraguay and Australia can pose significant threats, if we are to judge by their qualification results. This page contains information on the betting odds at top bookmakers for Group D, alongside a few betting tips from our experts at Betpack.

Table of Contents

Teams in Group D – Strong Home Soil Advantage for The USA

Everyone thinking about betting on Group D results must take a few factors into consideration. The USA plays all matches on home turf, while Türkiye will seek to make a great impression upon their return to the World Cup after 24 years of absence. Here is a short overview of what to expect from each nation before you start your World Cup betting experience.

🇺🇸 The USA – Fast-Paced Football Led by Mauricio Pochettino

The USMNT grabbed the headlines when they appointed Mauricio Pochettino as their head coach ahead of the World Cup. This is a coach with a great pedigree and one who is known for his brave and direct football. We can expect that type of an approach in the group stage, especially given the fact that the USA are strong favourites. Now, as the USMNT gained automatic qualification for the World Cup, there is no track record on how Pochettino’s system would cope on the big stage, but heavy defeats in friendlies against Portugal and Belgium may signal that it won’t be as straightforward as initially thought.

🇹🇷 Türkiye – A Shift Towards Modern European Discipline

Traditionally, Türkiye is known as a nation that relies on raw emotion and pure chaos in games. That sort of approach is not compatible with modern football, which may be the reason why Türkiye hasn’t qualified for a World Cup since 2002. Head coach Vincenzo Montella, who was appointed in 2023, has introduced a more rigid and tactical approach to games. Now, Türkiye relies on playmakers Calhanoglu and Arda Guler to feed passes to fast attackers like Baris Yilmaz. Some would argue that Türkiye are the tournament’s dark horse, especially given their impressive run in Euro 2024, when they reached the quarter-finals.

🇵🇾 Paraguay – Low Blocks and South American Passion

Paraguay has a rather unusual approach for a South American team. Head coach Gustavo Alfaro has introduced a pragmatic and defensive style of football with resilience at its core. Paraguay is expected to dominate aerial duels in both boxes, primarily thanks to centre-backs Gustavo Gomez and Sunderland's star Omar Alderete. In the qualification round, Paraguay scored 14 goals and conceded just 10, so this is a strong indicator of what we can expect from the Paraguayans.

🇦🇺 Australia – The Outsiders That Have Nothing To Lose

Australia are the clear outsiders in this group, but if we look at the past, you'd understand that this is not to be taken for granted. In 2022, they famously beat Denmark and Tunisia to reach the Round of 16, so nothing is impossible for the Socceroos. They can try to cause more upsets through an extreme defensive rigidity with a back five and a low block that will stop more technical opponents. When thinking about betting on underdogs, don’t take Australia for granted.

WC26 Group D Winner Betting Odds

The USMNT are the clear favourites to finish top of the group, but there are punters who claim Türkiye have a great shout as well. Generally, World Cup group stage betting odds are nearly identical, but here is a short overview of the current odds at some of the top bookies.

Team	Biggerz	Celsius	BetiBet	Everygame	N1bet
USA	2.30	2.40	2.25	2.35	2.38
Türkiye	2.70	2.75	2.60	2.65	2.70
Paraguay	4.60	4.75	4.40	4.50	4.55
Australia	7.50	8.00	7.00	7.50	7.80

Betpack Expert Tip: Goals Galore When The USMNT Play

Mauricio Pochettino prefers fast-paced attacking football, and his philosophy won't change in the World Cup. However, question marks remain on the USMNT’s ability to deliver everything the head coach demands. The attacking threat is there, led by Christian Pulisic and Weston McKennie, so it is inevitable that they'll score goals against underdogs. Defensive fragilities may be exposed by the creative Turkish midfield and the set-piece threats by Paraguay and Australia, so expect goals whenever USMNT play.

Mert Feyzioglu

Sports Betting Analyst

Betting on Group D Qualifying Teams

Almost all bookies predict that the USA and Türkiye will be the teams to directly qualify for the knockout stages, and the third spot is up for grabs between Paraguay and Australia. If you don’t feel too confident in predicting who will win the group, here are a few outright odds for teams that can qualify from it.

Team	Biggerz	Celsius	BetiBet	Everygame	N1bet
USA	1.10	1.12	1.08	1.10	1.11
Türkiye	1.22	1.25	1.20	1.24	1.23
Paraguay	1.45	1.50	1.42	1.44	1.45
Australia	1.85	1.95	1.80	1.82	1.88

Other Possible Bets on Group D

For bettors feeling a bit more adventurous, bookmakers offer different types of betting markets. Prop bets like goalscorers, total points per nation, or the lowest scoring team in the group are just some of the betting markets. Here are a few suggestions and the accompanying odds.

Market	Favorite	Odds (Biggerz)
To Finish Bottom	Australia	1.95
Highest Scoring Team	USA	2.25
Top Group Goalscorer	Christian Pulisic	3.80

World Cup Group D Matches: Dates, Kick-Off Times & Odds

Now that you know all you can expect from games at the Group D of the World Cup, we can take a look at the dates, venues and available odds for matches. For now, we only have the odds for the first round of games, as shown in the table below.

Date	Match	Venue	Odds (1/x/2)
June 12	USA vs. Paraguay	SoFi Stadium	1.88/3.60/3.95
June 13	Australia vs. Türkiye	BC Place	4.65/3.70/1.77
June 19	USA vs. Australia	Lumen Field	1.74/3.40/4.80
June 19	Türkiye vs. Paraguay	Levi's Stadium	1.66/3.85/4.70
June 25	Türkiye vs. USA	SoFi Stadium	2.62/3.40/2.52
June 25	Paraguay vs. Australia	Levi's Stadium	2.12/3.45/3.20

Frequently Asked Questions

Will the USMNT Win Group D?

If we are to judge by what the online sportsbooks predict in terms of odds, then yes, the USMNT are expected to win the group. Surprises can still happen, though, especially with the creative force of Türkiye coming into the equation.

Can Someone From Group D Win the World Cup?

As things stand, it is highly unlikely that someone from Group D will win the World Cup. There are other clear favourites, but you never know with football.

What is the Best Bet to Place on Group D?

It all depends on your preference and expectations. If you are planning to keep it safe, then simple moneyline bets will do the job. If you want to experiment a bit, you can try your luck with top goalscorers or live bets on individual matches.

Which Player Will Score the Most Goals in Group D?

There is no clear favourite for who will be the top goalscorer. Christian Pulisic from the USMNT is expected to be in the conversation, but don't sleep on Turkish stars like Yilmaz, too.

Will Australia be the Surprise Package in Group D?

Australia have all it takes to be the surprise team in Group D. They have a rigid and well-structured formation, and no one will feel comfortable playing against them.